The ABP CVoter poll for the West Bengal Assembly elections has predicted that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and therefore the Trinamool Congress are set to return to power, but with a reduced majority.
This comes at each day when Banerjee announced that she would be contesting from the Nandigram seat, rather than her traditional seat of Bhowanipore – a move that's being seen as an immediate challenge to the BJP's expansion within the western districts of the state.
Banerjee's announcement and therefore the survey both indicate that the TMC has been faraway from a pushover for the BJP.The survey predicts that the TMC could win 158 seats, but a dozen above the halfway mark within the 294-member Assembly, with the BJP likely to urge 102.
The BJP's rise is not any doubt significant, because it had won only three seats in 2016. The survey predicts an increase of 99 seats for the BJP and a fall of 53 for the TMC.The survey gives 30 seats to the Left Front-Congress, a discount of 46 seats from 2016.
In terms of the vote share, the survey predicts that TMC could get 43 percent of the votes, a fall of just two percent compared to 2016.The BJP could get 37.5 percent, a huge rise of over 27 percent. the most loser appears to be the Left-Congress alliance, falling to 11.8 percent, compared to 32 percent in 2016.
However, the BJP appears to possess fallen a touch compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, during which it got 40.6 percent of the votes and was leading in 122 Assembly segments.